The frequency-magnitude distribution of slow slip events in Japan

Model-dependent detectability of foreshocks:

implications for declustering and earthquake forecasting

Clustering at scale:

methodological considerations for dense, long-duration seismic catalogs along the Chilean subduction margin (28°–33°S)

The impact factor of an earthquake

Investigating the features of earthquake clustering and background seismicity in areas characterised by different tectonic settings

Exponentiality test corrected for binned earthquake magnitudes

Nonstationary ETAS and ETASI Modeling of Magma-Driven Seismicity in the Reykjanes Peninsula

A non-separable ETAS-type Hawkes model

Application of Markovian Arrival Process for seismicity in the Gulf of Corinth

Two-Part Autoregressive Hidden Markov Models for Forecasting Earthquake Sizes

How predictable are earthquakes?

Advances in earthquake forecasting and predictability limits

Operational Earthquake Forecasting in Switzerland and Europe

Testing seismic hazard models and time-varying (operational) forecasts for Europe:

ongoing CSEP experiments

A floatCSEP Application for Global Retrospective Earthquake Forecast Evaluation

Extending Basic Earthquake Nowcasting to Natural Time Forecasting:

A Case Study from Myanmar

What Makes a Good Aftershock Forecast?

Tracking the Performance of the Components of the USGS Forecasting System

Forecasting long-term distributed seismicity rates for seismic hazard models of subduction zones

Version 2 of an Integrated Earthquake Catalogue for Aotearoa New Zealand and its Implications for the NZ National Seismic Hazard Model

Taming the Logic Tree:

Combinatorics and Correlations of Epistemic Uncertainties in National Hazard Models

Testing Magnitude Distributions Near Faults in Modern PSHA Models

A Second-Order Cone Complementarity Framework for Efficient 3D Simulation of Stress Evolution in Complex Fault Systems

Seismic Point Cloud Diffusion:

Unified Fault Reconstruction and Earthquake Forecasting

Acoustic sensing of the rupture initiation of laboratory earthquakes

Foreshock Occurrence in the Chilean Subduction Zone

On the potential seasonality of seismicity along the North Anatolian Fault, Marmara region

A Hybrid Static and Dynamic Stress Change Triggering Model for Aftershock Forecasting

Seismic regime of
tectonic fault

SGB-ETAS : Structured Gaussian Background modeling for Bayesian ETAS models

B-Bayesian! Resolving Spatio- Temporal Variations in the Parameters of the Gutenberg Richter Law

Studying temporal b-value changes before large earthquakes using b-transD a Bayesian transdimensional algorithm

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Background Seismicity Using Gaussian Processes:

Application to the Boso Peninsula

SPDE-ETAS: Fast and accurate Bayesian inference for spatio-temporal background rate

Exact Bayesian posterior sampling of Poissonian random fields using Polya Gamma data augmentation

Comparison of b-values and occurrence probabilities among methods for real-time aftershock
forecasting in Japan

Anomaly Activity as an Indicator of the Nowcasting of Earthquakes

Taking the rapid change of geophysical signals as short-imminent- term earthquake anomalies and forecasting test in Southwest China

How to Reveal Temporal Changes in the Gutenberg–Richter b-value

Toward unbiased ETAS inference:

Accounting for incompleteness, mismodeling, and aseismic forcing

Neural network extensions of ETAS benchmarked against the CSEP California experiment

Beyond Separability: A History-Dependent Magnitude Estimator for Earthquake Forecasting

ST-DBSCAN vs Window-Based Methods for Spatiotemporal Clustering:

Application to the New Zealand Earthquake Catalogue

The 2025 Santorini unrest unveiled:

Rebounding magmatic dike intrusion with triggered seismicity

Start of the trip from Santiago դեպի the western sector of the Quintay Fault. Travel will be by road.

Arrival at Tunquén, where the field exploration along the fault trace begins.

Morning field visit along the Quintay Fault

Break for lunch in the town of Quintay, with time to rest.

Exploration of the area where the fault reaches the coastal cliffs. Discussion of geological features and coastal dynamics.

Brief visit to the CIMARQ station and La Ballenera area, focusing on scientific and environmental aspects.

Departure from Quintay back to Santiago.

End of the day with arrival at the hotel.